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The Gap
IIHS crash test showing rear-seat dummy in a minivan moderate overlap test

A $22,000 Kia Sedan Protects Your Kids Better Than Any Minivan on Sale

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Minivans earning any IIHS safety award in 2026. Same as 2025. Two straight years of total shutout.

The IIHS released its 2026 Top Safety Pick awards on March 24.[1] Sixty-three vehicles made the list. Small cars, midsize sedans, SUVs in every size, a few pickups, even the Tesla Cybertruck. Not a single minivan.

Not marginal misses. Not close calls where one trim package fell short on headlights. Every minivan sold in the United States (the Chrysler Pacifica, Kia Carnival, Toyota Sienna, and Honda Odyssey) failed the updated moderate overlap front crash test that measures how well a vehicle protects rear-seat passengers.[2] The test that evaluates whether the people sitting where your children sit will survive.

The Honda Odyssey scored Poor. Not Marginal. Poor. During the moderate overlap test, the rear-seat dummy’s head came within striking distance of the front seatback.[2] In a real crash at that speed, a 12-year-old sitting behind the driver could slam face-first into the seat in front of them.

The Engineering Gap

Every minivan protected front-seat occupants well. That is the cruelest part. The automakers know how to solve this problem. They solved it for the driver’s seat decades ago. Force-limiting seat belts that absorb crash energy instead of transmitting it through your ribs. Pretensioners that pull the belt tight in the first milliseconds of impact. Side curtain airbags that deploy on schedule.

For the back seat? The Chrysler Pacifica’s side curtain airbag didn’t deploy.[2] The Kia Carnival’s seat belt crushed the rear dummy’s chest with excessive force. The Toyota Sienna was the only minivan that even bothered installing pretensioners and force limiters on its second-row belts — and the dummy still submarined under the lap belt while the shoulder belt migrated off the shoulder toward the neck.[2]

This is not new technology. Load-limiting retractors have been standard in front seats since the late 1990s. Force limiters cost single-digit dollars per belt. Pretensioners are mass-produced commodity parts. The automakers who build these vehicles know exactly what a second-row occupant needs to survive a 40-mph frontal offset crash. They just didn’t put it in.

What Passed Instead

The Kia K4, a compact sedan starting at $22,290, earned Top Safety Pick+.[1] So did the Nissan Sentra. The Toyota Camry. The Subaru Forester at $33,000. Fifteen vehicles that start under $30,000 achieved a higher safety designation than any minivan at any price point.

The Chrysler Pacifica starts around $38,000. The Honda Odyssey starts around $38,000. The Toyota Sienna starts around $38,000. You pay nearly double the K4’s sticker price and get worse protection for the passengers you bought the vehicle to carry.

IIHS President David Harkey did not mince his remarks: “It’s disappointing that minivans continue to struggle to provide the best-available protection for passengers in the back, considering that these are supposed to be family vehicles. Based on these results, parents may want to consider some of the more affordable sedans and SUVs that earn awards.”[1]

Read that again. The head of the organization that tests vehicle crashworthiness for a living just told parents to stop buying minivans.

The FARS Context

Our FARS database tracks every fatal crash in America from 2014 to 2023. The minivan death rates tell their own story. The Dodge Grand Caravan, the best-selling minivan of the FARS decade, logged 1,782 deaths at a rate of 1.33 per 100 million vehicle miles traveled.[3] The Chrysler Town & Country: 1,303 deaths, rate 1.26. The Honda Odyssey: 864 deaths, rate 0.93. The Toyota Sienna, at 430 deaths and a rate of 0.49, is the only minivan in the database that approaches the safety floor set by top-rated SUVs.[3]

Minivan drivers are, statistically, among the most sober operators on the road. Impairment rates for vans and minivans run well below 15% in the FARS toxicology data — roughly half the rate seen in muscle cars and performance sedans.[3] These drivers are not wrapping themselves around telephone poles after last call. They are getting hit in normal traffic by normal drivers at normal speeds. And when that happens, their back seat passengers are less protected than they would be in a $22,000 Kia.

Two Straight Years

This is not a one-year aberration. In 2025, IIHS made rear-seat protection mandatory for the first time. The number of award-winning vehicles dropped from 71 to 48.[4] Zero minivans qualified. IIHS President Harkey called the minivan shutout “unfortunate, considering that minivans are marketed as family haulers.”[4]

That was the warning shot. Every minivan manufacturer had a full year to add pretensioners, upgrade their seat belt load paths, and recalibrate their side curtain airbag deployment. The Sienna added pretensioners. Its dummy still submarined. The Pacifica’s curtain airbag still didn’t go off. Nobody else tried.

Strongest counterargument: Minivans are large, heavy vehicles with inherently good structural performance in crashes. Their overall fatality rates (especially the Sienna and Pacifica) are competitive with or better than many sedans. The IIHS moderate overlap test measures a specific crash mode that may not reflect the majority of real-world collisions involving minivans. Children in car seats are not evaluated by the rear-seat dummy protocol, and IIHS itself notes that the back seat remains the safest place for children in child restraints.

All true. The Pacifica’s FARS death rate of 0.19 per 100M VMT is excellent. But the moderate overlap front crash is the second most common fatal crash type after rollovers, and it is exactly the scenario where a 12-year-old outgrows their booster seat and sits in a regular seat belt that was never engineered to protect them. The test dummy represents a small adult woman or a 12-year-old child — the exact passenger who is transitioning out of child restraints and into a system that, in every minivan tested, cannot keep them safe.

Limitations: The IIHS test results are for the 2023 model year. Manufacturers may have made improvements for 2024-2026 that have not yet been tested. FARS data covers 2014-2023 and includes older minivan models (Grand Caravan, Town & Country) that are no longer in production; their death counts reflect vehicles with even less rear-seat technology than current models. The moderate overlap test is one crash mode among many; overall real-world safety involves rollover resistance, side impact performance, and crash avoidance systems that are evaluated separately.

Sources & References

  1. IIHS, “IIHS pushes improvements in crash avoidance with 2026 awards,” March 24, 2026. iihs.org
  2. Motor Illustrated, “Minivans Fall Short on Rear-Seat Safety in Latest IIHS Tests,” citing IIHS moderate overlap test results for 2023 Chrysler Pacifica, Kia Carnival, Toyota Sienna, and Honda Odyssey. motorillustrated.com
  3. NHTSA, Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS), 2014–2023 bulk CSV. Death rates estimated per 100 million vehicle miles traveled. nhtsa.gov
  4. IIHS, “IIHS makes stronger protection for back seat passengers a must for 2025,” 2025. iihs.org

Source: IIHS 2026 Top Safety Pick awards (March 2026), IIHS moderate overlap front crash test results for minivans, NHTSA FARS 2014–2023. FARS death rates are estimates based on fleet size and national VMT averages. IIHS test results are for 2023 model year vehicles. See methodology for caveats.